![]() Would expect, on average, would miss that So we would expectħ5% of them would make that first free throw. Let's call that freeĪverage, that 75% of them would make thatįirst free throw. Represents all of the LeBron Jameses that take Large number of LeBron Jameses is taking a free throw. If we have a million LeBron Jameses, as you can imagine, any Which is a little bit higher than my free throw percentage. So I looked up your careerįree throw percentage, and you're right around 75%, What are the odds of makingġ0 free throws in a row? Here's my good friend, If my explanation does not help, I suggest re-watching the Coin Flipping Probability video as that was helpful for me. Forgive me if you didn't need the breakdown as I have done above, but for me, that was how I was able to make sense of the problem. I hope this helps others with the same question. The probability of Lebron making a free throw is 75% or. If we go back to the free throw example, if F represents making a free throw, our problem would look like this: ![]() When flipping a coin, the probability of flipping HEADS is 1/2. ![]() Ok, let's look at if we were calculating the probability of flipping a coin 3 times and getting HEADS all 3 times (flipping HEADS 3 times IN A ROW). The math is the same, but Sal is presenting a different way of looking at the problem. Then I realized this example is exactly the same as figuring out the probability of flipping a coin 3 times and getting HEADS all three times. For some reason none of the other answers to this question in the comments clicked for me. I also had a hard time grasping why he was taking 75% of 75% and so on.
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